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RISK MANAGEMENT

RISK MANAGEMENT


RISK SIMULATOR

WHAT IS RISK ANALYSIS?

How do you make critical business decisions? Do you consider the risks of your projects and decisions, or are you more focused on returns? Do you have a hard time trying to understand what risk is, let alone quantifying risk? Well, our Risk Simulator software will help you identify, quantify, and value risk in your projects and decisions.

RISK SIMULATOR is a powerful Excel add-in software used for applying simulation, forecasting, statistical analysis, and optimization in your existing Excel spreadsheet models. The software was developed specifically to be extremely easy to use. For instance, running a risk simulation is as simple as 1-2-3, set an input, set an output, and run. Performing forecasting can be as simple as two or three mouse clicks away and the software does everything for you automatically, complete with detailed reports, powerful charts and numerical results. It even comes in English, Spanish, Chinese and Japanese, with additional languages on their way.

If we have the technology to send spacecrafts half way across the solar system, why can¡¦t we spend a little more time quantifying risk? Such technology already exists and Risk Simulator encapsulates these advanced methodologies into a simple and user-friendly tool. We have books, live training (Certification in Risk Management) seminars, training DVDs, consultants and free sample getting started videos in risk analysis and modeling on our website.

Risk Simulator is also integrated with our other software including the Real Options Super Lattice Solver, Employee Stock Options Valuation Toolkit, Modeling Toolkit (Over 800 Functions and 300 Models), ROV Modeler, ROV Optimizer, ROV Valuator, ROV Basel II Modeler

System Requirements
Windows XP or Vista
Excel XP, 2003 or 2007
Microsoft .NET 2.0 or later
Administrative Rights

Item no.: PB10750005
Format: Download Online
Price: USD 1495.00

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EMPLOYEE STOCK OPTIONS VALUATION

Reduce Employee Stock Option (ESO) expenses by millions of dollars using the same software FASB uses to generate their FAS 123 examples ...

Learn how a FAS 123 preferred customized binomial lattice is calculated and how it compares to the naive Black-Scholes. The software creator is an advisor to FASB, a professor and consultant in financial analytics, and the software was used by FASB to create the valuation examples in FAS 123. See how by considering employee suboptimal exercise behavior, forfeiture rates, blackout periods, vesting, marketability discounts, and changing inputs over time (volatility, dividend yield, risk-free rate, forfeiture rate, and suboptimal behavior exercise multiple) can more accurately reflect reality, reduce expenses, conform to FAS 123 requirements, and pass an audit.

Item no.: LW10750001
Format: Download Online
Price: USD 995.00

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MODELING TOOLKIT

This toolkit comprises over 800 analytical models, functions and tools, and about 300 analytical model Excel/SLS templates and example spreadsheets covering the areas of risk analysis, simulation, forecasting, Basel II risk analysis, credit and default risk, statistical models, and much more! This toolkit is a set of mathematically sophisticated models written in C++ and linked into Excel spreadsheets. There are over 1100 models, functions, with spreadsheet and SLS templates in this toolkit.

Item no.: TF10750002
Format: Download Online
Price: USD 5000.00

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REAL OPTIONS SUPER LATTICE SOLVER (SLS)

Move beyond the academic papers and theoretical realm, and start applying real options with this new software. Real Options SLS is a standalone software and spreadsheet accessible add-in for analyzing and valuing real options, financial options, exotic options and employee stock options and incorporating them into custom spreadsheet models. The newly designed customized option modules allow you to create your own a la carte fully customized models, where all the mathematical equations and functions are visible, thus demystifying the approach and results, making them easier to understand and explain.

Item no.: BW10750003
Format: Download Online
Price: USD 995.00

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RISK MANAGEMENT TRAINING DVD

The training DVD comprises 10 DVDs and cover the following main topical areas:
  • Monte Carlo Simulation with Risk Simulator
  • Forecasting with Risk Simulator
  • Optimization with Risk Simulator
  • Real Options Analysis with Real Options Super Lattice Solver
  • Analytical Tools

    In each DVD, there is an introduction to the topics to be covered, as well as learning outcomes of each module. Each DVD is divided up into various modules or chapters, and are summarized below:

    DVD 1: Introduction to Risk Analysis
    Chapter 1: Introduction to the Training DVD
    Chapter 2: How are business decisions made?
    Chapter 3: What is risk and why should risk be considered?
    Chapter 4: Overview of Risk Analysis software applications

    DVD 2: Monte Carlo Simulation with Risk Simulator
    Chapter 1: Overview of the Risk Simulator software
    Chapter 2: Profiling, assumptions, forecasts and running simulations
    Chapter 3: Interpreting the forecast statistics
    Chapter 4: Simulation run preferences and seed values
    Chapter 5: Running reports, saving and extracting simulation data

    DVD 3: Advanced Simulation Techniques
    Chapter 1: Correlating and truncating distributions
    Chapter 2: Alternate parameters
    Chapter 3: Multidimensional simulations
    Chapter 4: Distributional fitting and choosing distributions
    Chapter 5: Due diligence and pitfalls in simulation

    DVD 4: Simulation and Analytical Tools
    Chapter 1: Static tornado and spider charts
    Chapter 2: Dynamic sensitivity analysis
    Chapter 3: Hypothesis test on different distributions
    Chapter 4: Nonparametric bootstrap simulation
    Chapter 5: Precision control

    DVD 5: Forecasting
    Chapter 1: Overview of forecasting techniques and data types
    Chapter 2: Forecasting without data
    Chapter 3: Time-series analysis forecasting
    Chapter 4: Nonlinear extrapolation
    Chapter 5: Multivariate regression analysis
    Chapter 6: Stochastic processes
    Chapter 7: Box-Jenkins ARIMA

    DVD 6 and 7: Real Options Analysis: Theory and Background
    Chapter 1: Introduction to real options: what, where, who, when, how, and why
    Chapter 2: Sample applied business cases
    Chapter 3: Overview of different options valuation techniques: closed-form models, partial differential equations, and binomial lattices
    Chapter 4: Risk-neutral probability technique
    Chapter 5: Solving a basic European and American call option
    Chapter 6: Using Excel to solve basic American options
    Chapter 7: Solving basic abandonment, expansion, contraction, and mutually exclusive chooser options

    DVD 8 and 9: Real Options Analysis: Application with SLS Software
    Chapter 1: Overview of the different SLS modules
    Chapter 2: Estimating Volatility (GARCH, Log PV Asset, Log
    Cash Flow Returns, management assumptions)
    Chapter 3: Solving options with changing inputs and customized exotic options
    Chapter 4: MSLS: Multiple sequential compound options
    Chapter 5: MNLS: Solving mean-reverting, jump-diffusion, and dual-asset rainbow options using trinomial, quadranomial, and pentanomial lattices
    Chapter 6: Framing real options - structuring the problem
    Chapter 7: The next steps...

    DVD 10: Optimization with Risk Simulator
    Chapter 1: Introduction to optimization problems
    Chapter 2: Continuous optimization
    Chapter 3: Integer optimization

    Item no.: NL10750004
    Format: 12 DVDs (With Workbook)
    Price: USD 995.00

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